Comparative Study

on the retrospective simulation of typhoon seasons in SE Asia

Models and Data

As a prerequisite to derive and assess changing statistics of typhoon formation in SE Asia, simulation models should demonstrate their capability to simulate ('reconstruct') year-to-year variations of typhoon statistics in SE Asia during the past 40-50 years. During this period, NCEP and ERA have constructed global-reanalyses describing the large scale atmospheric state with some fidelity, but spatial details are not that well described. Therefore regional atmospheric models, forced with global re-analyses, may be a suitable tool to reconstruct the past decades' variability.

Reanalyses

Regional models

Observations